THE MOST DANGEROUS BORDER LINE OF CONTROL
MONOLOGUE WRITTEN BY CLYDE LEWIS
President Trump’s border emergency has run into a wall of sorts. The story hit the mainstream press just prior to my show being aired yesterday.
The House voted 245-182 Tuesday to overturn Trump’s declaration of an emergency, which would free up money to build more physical barriers along the U.S-Mexico border. Thirteen Republicans joined 232 Democrats to vote yes.
From there it gets progressively harder for opponents of Trump’s emergency from here. Next, the resolution goes to the Senate, where it needs only a simple majority to pass. If the resolution passes the Senate, Trump will presumably veto it, in which case a two-thirds majority would be needed in each chamber to override the veto.
Many insiders in Washington are saying that these moves signal an internal war that they believe is heated enough to go beyond just a war of words.
And with the latest allegations by former Trump lawyer, Michael Cohen, things have turned uglier in the political theater. This, of course, casts a huge shadow over the progress of peace talks underway with North Korean President Kim Jong Un.
Even during this lauded process, there are a lot of Americans that hope Special Counsel Robert Mueller ultimately will conclude that President Donald Trump has committed high crimes and misdemeanors.
However, it is highly unlikely that he will bring formal legal charges against Trump. It’s an open constitutional question whether a sitting U.S. president can be indicted, with most legal experts believing the answer is no.
The job of removing the commander-in-chief falls to Congress through impeachment proceedings. When it comes to Trump’s fate, Mueller likely will do little more than issue a report.
So if that report drops and presidential crimes are alleged in it we all know how ugly this can get.
We can predict that the Republican Congress will resist public calls for impeachment. Others will argue that impeachment will happen and as the anger heats up in America, we could lead to violence across the country.
This is a risk that I am sure is being reviewed – we can see that the role of the President is about to be swallowed up entirely by partisan and culture warriors who have already demonstrated the emotional baggage that they have been carrying from the 2016 election.
Like it or not, the United States is being held over a barrel. Nothing good can come of impeachment. It would deepen partisan divisions, it would leave our country vulnerable for uprisings and attacks from within and it would most certainly feed the alternative media’s narrative of a Deep State coup.
So what is happening seems to be akin to a special six-part series on A&E.
However, the tension and the passion building in the United States is very real and will explode just like how other countries are rebelling and rioting as they are trying to cope with out of control governments and decisions that seem to go against what the majority of people want.
Outside the myopic view of our own nation’s scandalous narrative, one part of the world is edging closer to a volatile border showdown that can lead to a nuclear confrontation, one that would affect the entire world.
We know that throughout Europe and Russia border disputes have destabilized governments and have led to various military confrontations which have been going on without much interest from the American media because of our own border problems and the division we are having due to political differences and scandals.
Border disputes have triggered military strikes in Serbia and Kosovo where Albanians have reportedly attacked Serbian Villages.
These border wars are popping up everywhere, however, there is one of grave concern that the mainstream narrative has conveniently ignored and that is the recent military clashes between Pakistan and India — a showdown that we said in 2018 would erupt putting us closer to the first nuclear showdown between warring countries.
India and Pakistan, both nuclear-armed, have fought four wars over divided Kashmir since 1947, the lovely mountain state of forests and lakes whose population is predominantly Muslim. India controls two-thirds of Kashmir; Pakistan and China the rest. This bitter dispute, one of the world’s oldest confrontations, has defied all attempts to resolve it.
The United Nations called on India to hold a vote to determine Kashmir’s future, but Delhi ignored this demand, knowing it would probably lose the vote.
Muslim Kashmiris have been in armed revolt against harsh Indian occupation since the 1980s. Some 70,000 civilians, mostly Muslims, have died to date. Today, India stations a million soldiers and paramilitary forces in Kashmir to repress popular demands by Muslim Kashmiris for either union with neighboring Pakistan or an independent Kashmiri state.
India’s human rights groups accuse Delhi of grave human rights violations, including torture, murder, rape, and collective punishment. Delhi says it is protecting Kashmir’s Hindus and Sikhs from Muslim reprisals and blames the uprising on what it calls ‘cross border terrorism’ initiated by old enemy, Pakistan.
Last week, a Kashmiri ‘mujahidin’ rammed his explosive-laden car into a bus filled with paramilitary Indian troops at Pulwama, killing over 40 and provoking outrage across India.
In a dramatic and dangerous escalation of ongoing fighting between India and Pakistan for the past 72 hours, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi said he gives ‘free hand’ to armed forces to act against Pakistan.”
Wednesday morning, at least two India military aircraft were shot down by Pakistan, with multiple pilots killed and at least one pilot captured and beaten.
The Kashmir conflict poses multiple dangers. It is very likely that local skirmishing can quickly surge into major fighting involving air power and heavy artillery. In 1999, a surprise attack by Pakistani commandos into the Indian-ruled Kargil region provoked heavy fighting. The two nations, with more than one million troops facing one another, came very close to an all-out war.
I had learned that after the attacks last night both sides put their tactical nuclear weapons on red alert. Angry Indian generals called on Delhi to use its powerful armored corps to cut Pakistan in half. India’s cautious civilian leadership said no.
The Kashmir conflict involves India’s strategic rival, China. Beijing claims the entire eastern end of the Himalayan border separating India and China, which Chinese troops occupied in a brief 1963 war. China also occupied, with Pakistan’s help, a high strategic plateau on the western end of the Himalayas known as Aksai Chin that was part of historic Tibet.
China is Pakistan’s closest political and military ally. Any major Indian attack on Pakistan would risk intervention by Chinese air, ground and missiles forces in neighboring Tibet.
In the midst of all these serious tensions, India and Pakistan’s nuclear weapons delivered by air and missile are on hair-trigger alert. This means that during a severe crisis, both sides are faced with a “use it, or lose” decision in minutes to use their nuclear arsenals.
The strategic command and control systems of India and Pakistan are said to be riddled with problems and often unreliable, though much improvement has been made in recent years.
A false report, a flight of birds, an off-course aircraft could provoke a nuclear exchange. By the time Islamabad could call Delhi, war might be on.
A U.S. Rand Corp study estimated an Indo-Pakistani nuclear exchange would kill two million people immediately, injure or kill 100 million later, pollute the Indus River and send clouds of radioactive dust around the globe.
Now, to be clear, a few days ago India launched air strikes into Pakistan to destroy what they say were terrorist camps connected to a bombing on February 15 which killed 40 India police officers.
The situation between Pakistan and India is fast becoming an actual war, with heavy artillery fire being exchanged by both countries along a “Line of Control” in the disputed Kashmir region.
Serious concerns are already mounting that both nations may choose to employ their nuclear weapons.
I was posting information about this on Facebook last night and the response was more or less mediocre at best and many people declaring that what do we have to care about a bunch of Hindus and Muslims attacking each other.
Well, here is a clue.
If there is a nuclear exchange between India and Pakistan, the resulting radiation and smoke would reach the east coast of the United States within 72 hours, and fully cover the 48 contiguous states within another 72 hours after that.
This is a perfect example of the ignorance that exists in social media and how we have become a myopic country who is all enveloped in our own scandals and political claptrap not to notice or even care about the dangers that face us when the world goes out of control.
I have never understood how Americans become so apathetic when it comes to other nations, especially nations that they see as non-Christian.
Christians make up one of the two largest (non-Muslim) religious minorities in Pakistan, along with Hindus. The total number of Christians in Pakistan was estimated at 2.5 million.
Christianity is India’s third most followed religion with approximately 28 million followers, constituting 2.3 percent of India’s population.
India is deeply frustrated by its inability to crush the independence movement in Kashmir, labeling it ‘terrorism.’ True enough, Pakistan’s crack intelligence service, ISI, has links to the many Kashmiri mujahidin groups. But the uprising is also due to often brutal, corrupt Indian rule over Kashmir and the desire by Muslims for self-rule.
Even though Pakistan says that they do not want a major war, India is preparing for war with the construction of 14,000 bunkers to protect families on the Pakistan border as Islamabad invokes the specter of nuclear conflict, telling India ‘better sense’ is needed.
The Defcon Warning System announced the threat level of nuclear war had risen to four.
The Defcon Warning System, a private organization made up of experts monitoring nuclear threats against the US, said hostilities had “increased measurably” over the last few days between the historical enemies. They warned of an “escalation that has the possibility of spiraling” after the border conflict.
In their latest nuclear warning update, Defcon wrote: “Hostilities between India and Pakistan have increased measurably over the last few days as attacks have occurred between the two countries.
“While there are often skirmishes between the historical enemies, these new attacks indicate an escalation that has the possibility of spiraling.
“Although each country has made moves to try and de-escalate, military action indicate increased hostilities.”
The Defcon Warning System report, made up of experts claiming to have contacts within the US security industry, said: “While India and Pakistan have fought wars in the recent past, and they have come close to war numerous times, this does not mean that war is inevitable.
“Additionally, should war break out, it is highly unlikely that the United States will be involved. Russia and China, for their part, also have shown no sign of taking sides militarily.
While China has given a cold shoulder to Pakistan after the air strikes, Russia seems to be talking about nuclear conflict; not with the Pakistan or India but with the United States.
Again Russia has been indulging in a little brinkmanship with the United States and again the mainstream narrative is more ravenous about impeachment and scandal than the threatening actions from Russia have been ignored.
Monday, Russian state television broadcast a map of the US showing military facilities Moscow would target in the event of a nuclear strike. The whole event seemed more bellicose than usual from Russia.
The targets included the Pentagon and the presidential retreat in Camp David, Maryland. A hypersonic missile Russia is developing would be able to hit them in less than five minutes, it said.
Last week, Vladimir Putin said Moscow was militarily ready for a “Cuban missile-style” crisis if the US wanted one.
With tensions rising over Russian fears that the US might deploy intermediate-range nuclear missiles in Europe as a cold war-era arms-control treaty unravels, Putin has said Russia would be forced to respond by placing hypersonic nuclear missiles on submarines near US waters.
The US said it had no immediate plans to deploy such missiles in Europe and dismissed Putin’s warnings as disingenuous propaganda. It does not currently have ground-based intermediate-range nuclear missiles that it could place in Europe.
However, its decision to quit the 1987 Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces (INF) treaty over an alleged Russian violation, which Moscow denies, has freed it to start developing and deploying such missiles.
Putin has said Russia does not want a new arms race, but he has ratcheted up his brinkmanship and it could be that Russia sees the United States as vulnerable because we are divided and are dealing with internal wars within our own government.
The external enemies are stirring and the world is headed for what well-known investor Warren Buffet calls a “mega catastrophe.”
Buffet gave a number of causes of what he calls the big one apart from a major earthquake or hurricane.
Beyond speculating that the “big one” could be an extreme weather event or a massive cybersecurity breach, Buffett deferred specifics to the idea that the world needs to be prepared for a civilization-shaking catastrophe even a nuclear exchange, except to argue that such a disaster is inevitable.
There are plenty of investors like Buffet that are more than happy to see the cold war reignite because for war profiteers it means a big fat paycheck as their companies are chosen to ink a lucrative multibillion-dollar contract for weapons and military hardware.
In Buffet’s case he explains that his company will get a share of the losses and they will be big – very big, unlike many other insurers, however, we will be looking to add business the next day.”
Wars and the threat of them invariably expose the hypocrisy and true allegiances that show their true colors in crises that arise from the all-out dangers that lurk in the shadows.
Americans are becoming oblivious to their oblivion as they seem comfortable in cheering on the destruction of our form of government while making us vulnerable to the ideology of plutocracy and the virtual takeover of the collective intellect that has preserved this nation and its values for over 200 years.