6/26/19: STOWAWAY II – WE ARE NOT APOPHIS YET
WE ARE NOT APOPHIS YET
MONOLOGUE WRITTEN BY CLYDE LEWIS
Back in 1504, Christopher Columbus created what can be called a classic psychological operation. When one of his ships was damaged and he held out in the Caribbean, Columbus ended up in Jamaica and in order for him and his crew to survive, they traded things with the natives there.
The sailors in his crew started to get a little greedy and began taking too much food, raping the women and so on and the natives refused to deal with Columbus.
They basically told Columbus that his crew were not welcome and that they would not trade anymore for provisions.
That meant starvation for Columbus and his men.
Columbus used his knowledge of astronomy and secretly pre-calculated a lunar eclipse on February 29, 1504 He told them that he had the power of God and that he would remove the moon from the sky if they would not cooperate with him.
The natives at first did not believe him.
The moon then turned to blood and then it began to dim. The natives worried. Then the moon disappeared. The natives were in a panic and pleaded with Columbus to bring back the moon because they feared that the earth would be destroyed.
Columbus knew precisely when the moon would reappear. He agreed to bring back the moon in due time, if they agreed to give him food. The natives agreed.
The moon of course reappeared.
Columbus saved himself and his crew from starvation. It was a case of using intelligence over ignorance. He used the native’s own fear of annihilation as a tool to get them to do what he wanted.
A 600-year-old trick can still be used on a frightened populace when those who know more than you throw out hints of a possible doomsday event; I think that maybe we should pay attention even if they tell you not to panic.
When we have cosmic close shaves with near earth objects, common people will shrug because most of the time these huge rocks from space really don’t affect them.
However, when a warning is given that there will be some major activity happening in the skies, people will react in many different ways.
Some will be productive, others will be destructive, and there will be skepticism and cynicism –and those who will be incredulous. Some will prepare for what is coming while others will say to themselves that everything will work itself out.
Two weeks ago, Ron, Andy and I put together a show called Stowaway. We had on the program Marshall Masters to talk about space anomalies and the arrival of what are called the Beta Taurids.
We warned that the Taurids may produce exploding meteors and maybe even an impact event at the end of the month of June. Marshal claimed that the window of activity could last until September.
Scientists have warned that during this time we should be prepared for a possible boiled event or even a direct hit by stowaway meteors that can be found in the Taurid Complex.
The Taurid Complex is the cosmic debris that has already been implicated in the Tunguska Event of June 30, 1908, when a huge meteor exploded over Siberia unleashing the power of 1,000 Hiroshima atomic bombs.
Now Earth is about to make its closest approach to the same swarm since June 1975, when instruments put on the moon by the Apollo missions detected enormous numbers of meteors pummeling the moon for several days.
Astronomers around the world are preparing to observe the contents of the Taurid Complex as the planet sweeps through.
The plan is to peer into the cloud of debris looking for meteors similar in size to the 100-meters wide object responsible for the Tunguska Event.
By determining the orbit of such objects, astronomers believe they can identify those on a collision course Earth early enough to take action against them.
Well, that is all good in theory and we have been given confusing data about what is happening and we also have not been told in the mainstream news that major asteroid events have already happened all over the world.
Three days ago it was reported that something exploded over Australia in Southeast Queensland.
Thousands of south-east Queenslanders saw or heard the meteor, which struck just after 10pm.
People on social media reported seeing the flash, or feeling their homes rumble or shake from its impact, particularly north and west of Brisbane.
Scientists there say it may have been part of the Taurid Swarm and that this type of celestial activity is to be expected.
On June 22th, 2019 a small asteroid entered Earth’s atmosphere and exploded in broad daylight south of Puerto Rico. The explosion was picked up on video and was also recorded by the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty Organization’s infrasound station in Bermuda. They pegged the blast energy between 3 and 5 kilotons of TNT–a fraction of a WW II atomic bomb. The explosion was clearly visible in images from NOAA’s GOES-16 weather satellite.
Meteor expert Peter Brown of the University of Western Ontario says the infrasound signal is consistent with a “small multi-meter sized near-Earth asteroid.” According to data compiled by NASA’s Center for Near Earth Object Studies, asteroids of this size and energy hit Earth’s atmosphere about once a year. That means it’s rare–but not exceptionally so.
The asteroid fragmented as it ripped through the atmosphere. This infrared image from the GOES-16 satellite shows the space rock splitting into at least 3 pieces.
The asteroid was the size of a refrigerator and was first spotted by telescopes in Hawaii on Saturday, just before it collided with Earth’s atmosphere and burned as a fireball.
The space rock, officially named 2019 MO, never had a chance of making it to the ground or doing much damage, as it was only about a tenth the size of the bolide that exploded in the atmosphere over Russia in 2013.
What’s most interesting about 2019 MO, though, is the fact that it was spotted by telescopes right before it exploded. That’s only happened four times in history, according to Italian amateur astronomer Ernesto Guido.
The other three times all happened in the last 12 years, including asteroid 2018 LA that made it all the way to the ground in Africa.
According to the International Astronomical Union’s Minor Planet Center, 2019 MO impacted the atmosphere at around 5:30 p.m. EDT Saturday.
Astronomer Peter Brown from Western University in Ontario noted that the impact was recorded at the equivalent explosive power of 5,000 tons of TNT.
Of course, the same-day notice provided in the case of 2019 MO wouldn’t be too helpful in making preparations if it were a much bigger asteroid headed to earth that could create a major catastrophe.
It is interesting and a bit terrifying that he exploding asteroid near Puerto Rico was not part of the Taurid Complex.
Unlike planets and moons, asteroids have remained virtually unchanged since the beginning of the solar system, preserved by the vacuum of space. The rock that exploded sending debris into the Caribbean was part of a much bigger older asteroid—again this is what is known as a Stowaway.
A meteor caused a massive explosion over Earth last year, but nobody noticed until it was reported months later. The giant fireball hit at 2350 GMT on 18 December over the Bering Sea, a part of the Pacific Ocean between Russia and Alaska.
Again, this meteor was not detected by telescopes, it’s explosion was caught by weather satellites and the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty Organization’s infrasound station.
On June 25th, 2019 NASA was alerted to another asteroid that grazed the earth, however, this one was first seen 9 years ago.
The asteroid was reportedly the size of Eiffel Tower in Paris.
It was dubbed by NASA’s Center for Near Earth Object Studies as 441987 (2010 NY65), is currently buzzed pass the earth at a speed of 28,200 miles per hour.
It’s diameter of 984 feet, made it significantly taller than the towers of the Golden Gate Bridge.
According to NASA’s records, the asteroid reached its closest distance to Earth on last year on June 24, 2018.
The space agency’s projections indicated that 441987 (2010 NY65) will return to Earth’s neighborhood on June 24, 2020. Unlike its upcoming visit, the asteroid will be flying at a much farther distance next year. NASA predicted that the space rock will be about 0.02511 astronomical units or around 2.3 million miles away when passes by Earth in 2020.
Although we are told that Earth is relatively safe from an impact event caused by 441987 (2010 NY65) based on CNEOS’s data regarding the asteroid’s future approaches, there are certain factors in space that can still significantly alter its trajectory.
As indicated in previous scientific studies, colliding with another asteroid could nudge 441987 (2010 NY65) to a different path. In addition, it is also possible for 441987 (2010 NY65) to change its course if it gets affected by the gravitational pull of larger objects such as planets.
This is the sweeper effect and this is something that you cannot predict – all you can do is warn people if there will be an impact and where.
Targets in space, whether they are missiles, UFOs, meteors or asteroids have been the concern of Russia as they were the target of an asteroid explosion over Chelyabinsk Oblast in 2013.
Russia officially has launched its S-500 ‘Prometheus’ rocket into space. The S-500 can successfully take out “ballistic missiles of all types” and crucially that its missiles are capable of “working outside the atmosphere where aerodynamic control is impossible.”
This next generation of deadly Russian anti-air defense systems is expected to enter service (or at least prototype testing) by 2020, with the first group of officers set to begin training courses this year, which Russian media has previously described as forming “the backbone” of the country’s integrated air defense and missile defense shield.
Russian reports that the S-500s range as capable of intercepting inbound projectiles at a distance of 600 kilometers. A prior TASS report said it could reach an altitude of 60km, which would put it in the Mesosphere of Earth’s atmosphere though there’s long been debate over where ‘outer space’ technically begins.
In the United States, the DART project is set to be in place by 2021. It will be used for earth and space defense.
Specifically, planetary defense is about intercepting huge asteroids that could theoretically collide with Earth, and what humans could do to protect ourselves. DART will slam into an asteroid hard enough while it’s sufficiently far away from Earth, to bump it off course.
Meanwhile, the Beta Taurids are still out there and there is a question if there are potentially dangerous asteroids hidden in the Taurid Complex.
Last year, a team of researchers from the Czech Academy of Sciences in the Czech Republic found evidence to suggest Earth is at greater risk than we thought of being hit by an asteroid associated with these meteors. They identified a new swarm of meteoroids – icy debris in space, left behind by a comet – related to the Taurid meteor stream. More importantly, they said, this new meteoroid stream might also contain still-undiscovered asteroids, some good-sized, say, a few tens of meters (yards) or even larger.
Their study was published in 2017 in the peer-reviewed journal Astronomy & Astrophysics.
NASA, of course, sent a clear message in order to keep people from panicking.
Their statement is that we are no more in danger of being hit by a space rock from the newly discovered stream of Taurids than we were before scientists discovered it.
So NASA says that there is no imminent danger as we enter the tail of Comet Enke.
NASA assures us that scientists will be searching the newly identified streams of meteoroids, with the goal of detecting any medium-sized or even moderately large asteroids with orbits that might bring them near Earth.
My question is. “what then” or “what if” we have heard from NASA director Jim Bridenestein that there is a good chance that we will see an impact event in our lifetime. While he said that events such as these can happen every 60 years – JPL countered by saying that there are no major celestial events for 200 years.
However, it was just a few years back that a particularly dangerous Asteroid Apophis was scheduled to hit the planet sometime between 2029 and 2036.
Apophis is a 370-meter diameter near-Earth asteroid that caused a brief period of concern in December 2004 because initial observations indicated a probability of up to 2.7% that it would hit Earth on April 13, 2029. Of course, that date is an unlucky Friday the 13th.
Meanwhile, another Asteroid 2004 MN4 had been discovered in June 2004, lost, then discovered again six months later. It was scheduled for impact on that date.
Additional observations provided improved predictions that eliminated the possibility of an impact on Earth or the Moon in 2029. However, until 2006, a possibility remained that during the 2029 close encounter with Earth, Apophis would pass through a gravitational keyhole, a small region no more than about 0.5 miles wide or 0.8 km that would set up a future impact exactly seven years later on April 13, 2036.
NASA reaffirmed the chance of Apophis impacting Earth in 2036 as being 1 in 45,000.
Well, we are nowhere near Apophis yet but in space, anything can happen.
There are many comets orbiting the sun, leaving debris behind. As Earth orbits the sun, as our planet encounters these small particles left by comets, we see meteor showers. Some meteoroid streams produce only a few visible meteors, but sometimes Earth passes by a denser swarm of particles, thus causing a more impressive or active meteor shower.
These particles are usually very small, maybe as tiny as sand, or grains of rice, although the sizes do vary. New research suggests some recent Taurid fireballs – or exceptionally bright meteors were produced by much-larger particles. At least one meteor observed in 2015 had an estimated size of about a meter. Another very bright meteor observed in 2015 and recently studied might have been caused by a space rock 10 times more massive.
We know that when we encounter the Enke tail the Taurids produce a light show.
It is possible that larger objects in the Beta Taurid meteor stream might also encounter Earth. For this reason, astronomers speak of these objects as potentially hazardous. They say the objects would be large enough to cause some regional damage if they were indeed to strike Earth.
A new stream of meteoroidal material has been discovered from the Taurids. Some relatively large asteroids are known to be in this same orbit. Could there be potentially hazardous asteroids in the stream as well?
Well, we will have to wait and see; so far, we have had two amazing lights shows, both included exploding bolides.
Scientists stressed that the risk of a collision is still fairly low; however, “daylight fireballs” and “significant airbursts” may be visible in the sky during the meteor showers peak activity.